Description |
1 online resource (xiii, 497 pages) |
Contents |
1. The Ancient Law of Proof -- 2. The Medieval Law of Evidence: Suspicion, Half-proof, and Inquisition -- 3. Renaissance Law -- 4. The Doubting Conscience and Moral Certainty -- 5. Rhetoric, Logic, Theory -- 6. Hard Science -- 7. Soft Science and History -- 8. Philosophy: Action and Induction -- 9. Religion: Laws of God, Laws of Nature -- 10. Aleatory Contracts: Insurance, Annuities, and Bets -- 11. Dice -- 12. Conclusion -- Epilogue: The Survival of Unquantified Probability -- Appendix: Review of Work on Probability before 1660 |
Summary |
"In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. Sometimes this type of reasoning avoided numbers entirely, as in the legal standard of "proof beyond a reasonable doubt"; at other times it involved rough numerical estimates, such as gambling odds or the level of risk in chance events. The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty."--Jacket |
Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references and index |
Notes |
Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002. http://purl.oclc.org/DLF/benchrepro0212 MiAaHDL |
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Print version record |
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digitized 2010 HathiTrust Digital Library committed to preserve pda MiAaHDL |
Subject |
Probabilities -- History
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Evidence -- History
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MATHEMATICS -- Applied.
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MATHEMATICS -- Probability & Statistics -- General.
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Probabilités.
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Philosophie.
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Preuves.
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Histoire.
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Evidence
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Probabilities
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Wahrscheinlichkeit
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Evidenz
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Waarschijnlijkheidstheorie.
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Onzekerheid.
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30.01 history of the exact sciences.
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Genre/Form |
History
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History (form)
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Form |
Electronic book
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ISBN |
9781421418810 |
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1421418819 |
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