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E-book
Author Franklin, James, 1953-

Title The science of conjecture : evidence and probability before Pascal / James Franklin
Published Baltimore : Johns Hopkins University Press, ©2001

Copies

Description 1 online resource (xiii, 497 pages)
Contents 1. The Ancient Law of Proof -- 2. The Medieval Law of Evidence: Suspicion, Half-proof, and Inquisition -- 3. Renaissance Law -- 4. The Doubting Conscience and Moral Certainty -- 5. Rhetoric, Logic, Theory -- 6. Hard Science -- 7. Soft Science and History -- 8. Philosophy: Action and Induction -- 9. Religion: Laws of God, Laws of Nature -- 10. Aleatory Contracts: Insurance, Annuities, and Bets -- 11. Dice -- 12. Conclusion -- Epilogue: The Survival of Unquantified Probability -- Appendix: Review of Work on Probability before 1660
Summary "In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. Sometimes this type of reasoning avoided numbers entirely, as in the legal standard of "proof beyond a reasonable doubt"; at other times it involved rough numerical estimates, such as gambling odds or the level of risk in chance events. The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty."--Jacket
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references and index
Notes Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002. http://purl.oclc.org/DLF/benchrepro0212 MiAaHDL
Print version record
digitized 2010 HathiTrust Digital Library committed to preserve pda MiAaHDL
Subject Probabilities -- History
Evidence -- History
MATHEMATICS -- Applied.
MATHEMATICS -- Probability & Statistics -- General.
Probabilités.
Philosophie.
Preuves.
Histoire.
Evidence
Probabilities
Wahrscheinlichkeit
Evidenz
Waarschijnlijkheidstheorie.
Onzekerheid.
30.01 history of the exact sciences.
Genre/Form History
History (form)
Form Electronic book
ISBN 9781421418810
1421418819