| Description |
1 online resource (359 pages) |
| Series |
Geophysical Monograph Ser. ; v. 223 |
|
Geophysical monograph ; 223.
|
| Contents |
Uncertainty in Natural Hazards, Modeling and Decision Support / Karin Riley, Matthew Thompson, Peter Webley, and Kevin D. Hyde -- Part I: Uncertainty, Communication, and Decision Support. Natural Hazard Modeling and Uncertainty Analysis / Matthew Thompson and Jord J. Warmink -- Understanding Uncertainty as a Key Interdisciplinary Problem in Earth System Science / Florian Rauser and Gernot Geppert -- Uncertainty and Probability in Wildfire Management Decision Support / Matthew Thompson, David Calkin, Joe H. Scott, and Michael Hand -- Role of Uncertainty in Decision Support for Volcanic Ash Cloud Modeling / Peter Webley -- Part II: Geological Hazards. Building an Uncertainty Modeling Framework for Real-Time VATD / Peter Webley, Abani Patra, Marcus Bursik, E. Bruce Pitman, Jonathan Dehn, Tarung Singh, Puneet Singla, Matthew D. Jones, Reza Madankan, E. Ramona Stefanescu, and Solene Pouget -- Uncertainties in Estimating Magma Source Parameters from InSAR Observation / Wenyu Gong, Zhong Lu, and Franz Meyer -- Improving Model Simulations of Volcanic Emission Clouds and Assessing Model Uncertainties / Nina Iren Kristiansen, Delia Arnold, Christian Maurer, Julius Vira, Razvan Rădulescu, Damien Martin, Andreas Stohl, Kerstin Stebel, Mikhail Sofiev, Colin O'Dowd, and Gerhard Wotawa -- Uncertainty Assessment of Pyroclastic Density Currents at Mount Vesuvius (Italy) Simulated Through the Energy Cone Model / Pablo Tierz, Laura Sandri, Antonio Costa, Roberto Sulpizio, Lucia Zaccarelli, Mauro Antonio Di Vito, and Warner Marzocchi -- Earthquake Loss Estimation in the Gyeongju Area, Southeastern Korea, Using a Site Classification Map / Su Young Kang and Kwang-Hee Kim -- Implications of Different Digital Elevation Models and Preprocessing Techniques to Delineate Debris Flow Inundation Hazard Zones in El Salvador / Eric Ross Anderson, Robert E. Griffin, and Daniel E. Irwin -- Evaluating the Performance of FLO2D for Simulating Past Lahar Events at the Most Active Mexican Volcanoes: Popocatépetl and Volcán de Colima / Lizeth Caballero, Lucia Capra, and Rosario Vázquez -- Part III: Biophysical and Climatic Hazards. An Uncertainty Analysis of Wildfire Modeling / Karin Riley and Matthew Thompson -- Fire and Smoke Remote Sensing and Modeling Uncertainties / Charles Ichoku, Luke T. Ellison, Yun Yue, Jun Wang, and Johannes W. Kaiser -- Uncertainty and Complexity Tradeoffs When Integrating Fire Spread with Hydroecological Projections / Maureen C. Kennedy and Donald McKenzie -- Uncertainty Quantification and Propagation for Projections of Extremes in Monthly Area Burned Under Climate Change: A Case Study in the Coastal Plain of Georgia, USA / Adam J. Terando, Brian Reich, Krishna Pacifici, Jennifer Costanza, Alexa McKerrow, and Jaime A. Collazo -- Simulating Vegetation Change, Carbon Cycling, and Fire Over the Western United States Using CMIP5 Climate Projections / D. Bachelet, T. Sheehan, K. Ferschweiler, and J. Abatzoglou -- Sensitivity of Vegetation Fires to Climate, Vegetation, and Anthropogenic Drivers in the HESFIRE Model: Consequences for Fire Modeling and Projection Uncertainties / Yannick Le Page -- Uncertainties in Predicting Debris Flow Hazards Following Wildfire / Kevin D. Hyde, Karin Riley, and Cathelijne Stoof -- Capturing Spatiotemporal Variation in Wildfires for Improving Postwildfire Debris-Flow Hazard Assessments / Jessica R. Haas, Matthew Thompson, Anne Tillery, and Joe H. Scott -- Uncertainty in Estimation of Debris-Flow Triggering Rainfall: Evaluation and Impact on Identification of Threshold Relationships / E.I. Nikolopoulos, F. Marra, and M. Borga -- Prospects in Landslide Prediction / Natasha Markuzon, Catherine Slesnick, Erin Leidy, John Regan, Xiang Gao, and Adam Schlosser |
| Summary |
Uncertainties are pervasive in natural hazards, and it is crucial to develop robust and meaningful approaches to characterize and communicate uncertainties to inform modeling efforts. In this monograph we provide a broad, cross-disciplinary overview of issues relating to uncertainties faced in natural hazard and risk assessment. We introduce some basic tenets of uncertainty analysis, discuss issues related to communication and decision support, and offer numerous examples of analyses and modeling approaches that vary by context and scope. Contributors include scientists from across the full breath of the natural hazard scientific community, from those in real-time analysis of natural hazards to those in the research community from academia and government |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Notes |
Print version record |
| Subject |
Hazard mitigation.
|
|
Hazard mitigation
|
| Form |
Electronic book
|
| Author |
Webley, Peter, editor.
|
|
Riley, Karin, editor.
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Thompson, Matthew, editor.
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Patra, Abani, editor
|
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Bursik, Marcus, editor
|
| ISBN |
9781119028116 |
|
1119028116 |
|
9781119028109 |
|
1119028108 |
|
9781119027867 |
|
1119027861 |
|
