Title Modeling conflict dynamics with spatiotemporal data / Andrew Zammit-Mangion, Michael Dewar, Visakan Kadirkamanathan, Anaïd Fleskin, Guido Sanguinetti

Published Cham : Springer, 2013

Click on the following:
Springer Mathematics and Statistics eBooks
Springer eBooks

Copies

Description 1 online resource Series SpringerBriefs in applied sciences and technology, Mathematical methods SpringerBriefs in applied sciences and technology. Mathematical methods. Contents Conflict data sets and point patterns -- Theory -- Modelling and prediction in conflict: Afghanistan Summary This authored monograph presents the use of dynamic spatiotemporal modeling tools for the identification of complex underlying processes in conflict, such as diffusion, relocation, heterogeneous escalation, and volatility. The authors use ideas from statistics, signal processing, and ecology, and provide a predictive framework which is able to assimilate data and give confidence estimates on the predictions. The book also demonstrates the methods on the WikiLeaks Afghan War Diary, the results showing that this approach allows deeper insights into conflict dynamics and allows a strikingly statistically accurate forward prediction of armed opposition group activity in 2010, based solely on data from preceding years. The target audience primarily comprises researchers and practitionersin the involved fields but the book may also be beneficial for graduate students Bibliography Includes bibliographical references and index Notes Print version record Subject War -- Forecasting Violence -- Statistics Violence -- Forecasting. Data mining. Data Mining Violence -- trends Warfare HISTORY -- Military -- Other. TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING -- Military Science. Guerra -- Previsión Violencia -- Estadísticas Violencia -- Previsión Análisis de datos Data mining Violence Violence -- Forecasting War -- Forecasting Genre/Form Statistics Statistics. Statistiques. Form Electronic book Author Zammit-Mangion, Andrew, author. Dewar, Michael, author. Kadirkamanathan, Visakan, 1962- author. Flesken, Anaïd, author. Sanguinetti, Guido, 1974- author. ISBN 9783319010380 3319010387 3319010379 9783319010373

  Permalink