Title Toward a more proliferated world? : the geopolitical forces that will shape the spread of nuclear weapons / Eric Brewer, with Ilan Goldenberg, Joseph Rodgers, Maxwell Simon, and Kaleigh Thomas

Published Washington, DC : Center for a New American Security, 2020 ©2020

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Description 1 online resource (51 pages) : color map, color photographs Contents 01 Executive Summary 06 CHAPTER 1 The Current Nuclear Landscape 13 CHAPTER 2 Seven Trends that Will Shape the Future of Proliferation 27 CHAPTER 3 Case Studies: Evaluating Three Potential Proliferators Against the Trends 28 South Korea 31 Saudi Arabia 35 Turkey 39 CHAPTER 4 Policy Recommendations Summary The United States and the international community have been relatively successful at preventing the spread of nuclear weapons, but there are new reasons to question whether this track record will last into the future. Working with partners, the United States has steadily built a framework of disincentives and barriers to prevent proliferation. But several trends are eroding the foundation on which this formidable set of barriers rests. These trends are rooted in, and being shaped by, changes to the nature and structure of the international system: namely, the decline of U.S. influence and its gradual withdrawal from the international order that it helped create and lead for more than 70 years, and the concurrent rise of a more competitive security environment, particularly among great powers. These trends will have three broad implications for proliferation and U.S. policy. First, they stand to increase pressures on countries to seek nuclear weapons or related capabilities as a hedge. Second, they will almost certainly challenge the U.S. ability to effectively wield the traditional "carrots and sticks" of nonproliferation and counterproliferation policy and dilute the effectiveness of those tools. Finally, they could increasingly pit U.S. nonproliferation goals against other policy objectives, forcing harder tradeoffs Notes "September 2020"--Cover Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 45-51) Notes Online resource; title from PDF cover page (CNAS, viewed September 7, 2020) Subject Nuclear nonproliferation. Security, International. Nuclear nonproliferation Security, International Form Electronic book Author Goldenberg, Iian Rodgers, Joseph Simon, Maxwell Thomas, Kaleigh Center for a New American Security. Center for Strategic and International Studies (Washington, D.C.)

Other Titles Geopolitical forces that will shape the spread of nuclear weapons

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