| Description |
1 online resource (28 pages) |
| Series |
IMF working paper, 2227-8885 ; WP/08/141 |
|
IMF working paper ; WP/08/141.
|
| Contents |
I. Introduction; A. Literature Review; II. The Theoreticalmodel; A. The model structure; B. Theoretical predictions; Figures; 1. Prices and Traders' Expectations after a History of Buys; III. The Experiment and the Experimental Design; A. The experiment; B. Experimental design: the two treatments; 2. Prices and Traders' Expectations after a History of Sells; 3. Prices and Traders' Expectations after a Sell Followed by a History of Buys; IV. Results: Rationality, Herding and Contrarian Behavior; A. Treatment I; Tables; 1. Average behavior in Treatment I |
|
2. Cascade trading behavior in Treatment IB. Treatment II; 3. No trade in Treatment I; 4. Average behavior in Treatment II; V. Comparison with Previous Experimental Results; 5. Cascade trading behavior in Treatment II; 6. No trade in Treatment II; VI. Individual Behavior; 7. Percentage of decisions in accordance with the theoretical prediction at individual level.; VII. Conclusions; 8. Regressions of the level of rationality in the experiment on individual characteristics. P-values in parenthesis |
|
9. Regression of subjects' payoff at the end of the experiment on individual characteristics. P-values in parenthesis10. Regressions of participants' proportion of herding, contrarianism and no trading on the trader's dummy. Herd 1 and Contrarian 1 refer to Treatment I. Herd 2 and Contrarian 2 refer to Treatment II. P-values in parenthesis; References |
| Summary |
We study herd behavior in a laboratory financial market with financial market professionals. We compare two treatments, one in which the price adjusts to the order flow so that herding should never occur, and one in which event uncertainty makes herding possible. In the first treatment, subjects herd seldom, in accordance with both the theory and previous experimental evidence on student subjects. A proportion of subjects, however, engage in contrarianism, something not accounted for by the theory. In the second treatment, the proportion of herding decisions increases, but not as much as theory suggests; moreover, contrarianism disappears altogether |
| Notes |
"June 2008." |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references (pages 26-28) |
| Notes |
Title from PDF title page (viewed September 17, 2008) |
|
At head of title: INS |
| Subject |
Capitalists and financiers -- Psychology -- Econometric models
|
|
Investments -- Decision making -- Econometric models
|
|
Collective behavior -- Econometric models
|
|
Investments -- Decision making -- Econometric models
|
| Form |
Electronic book
|
| Author |
Guarino, Antonio, PhD, author.
|
|
International Monetary Fund.
|
|
IMF Institute.
|
| ISBN |
1451914520 |
|
9781451914528 |
|
