| Description |
1 online resource (49 pages) |
| Series |
IMF working paper ; WP/13/2 |
|
IMF working paper ; WP/13/2.
|
| Contents |
Cover; Contents; Abstract; I. Introduction; II. A Brief Survey of Growth and Conflict Literature; III. Data Overview; IV. Theoretical Framework and Empirical Methodology; A. Estimating Post-Conflict Economic Performance; B. Estimating the Risk of Conflict Recurrence; V. Empirical Results; VI. Robustness of the Results; VII. Conclusion; REFERENCES; Figures; 1. Civil Conflicts Across the World; 2. Distribution of Post-Conflict Growth Rates; 3. Probability of Conflict Recurrence; 4. Variation in the Risk of Conflict Recurrence; 5. Risk of Conflict Recurrence and Economic Growth; Tables |
|
1. Determinants of the Risk of Conflict Recurrence2. Determinants of Post-Conflict Real GDP Per Capita Growth; 3. Determinants of Post-Conflict Real GDP Per Capita Growth (Alternative); Appendix Tables; 1. List of Countries with Conflict Episodes; 2. List of Variables; 3. Summary of Descriptive Statistics; 4. Estimation of Different Time Regimes; 5. Estimation of Different Geographic Specifications; 6. Fisher-Type Unit Root Test Based on the Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test; 7. Correlation of Conflict Risk Measured by Models Presented in Table 1 |
| Summary |
This paper provides a broad empirical analysis of the determinants of post-conflict economic transitions across the world during the period 1960-2010, using a dynamic panel estimation approach based on the system-generalized method of moments. In addition to an array of demographic, economic, geographic, and institutional variables, we introduce an estimated risk of conflict recurrence as an explanatory variable in the growth regression, because post-conflict countries have a tendency to relapse into subsequent conflicts even years after the cessation of violence. The empirical results show that domestic factors, including the estimated probability of conflict recurrence, as well as a range of external variables, contribute to post-conflict economic performance |
| Notes |
Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed Jan. 15, 2013) |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references |
| Notes |
"Middle East and Central Asia Department." |
|
"January 2013." |
| Subject |
War -- Economic aspects -- Developing countries -- Econometric models
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Economic development -- Developing countries -- Econometric models
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BUSINESS & ECONOMICS -- Development -- Business Development.
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BUSINESS & ECONOMICS -- Development -- Economic Development.
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BUSINESS & ECONOMICS -- Development -- General.
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BUSINESS & ECONOMICS -- Government & Business.
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BUSINESS & ECONOMICS -- Structural Adjustment.
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POLITICAL SCIENCE -- Public Policy -- Economic Policy.
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Economic development -- Econometric models
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Developing countries
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| Form |
Electronic book
|
| Author |
Rahmati, Mohammad.
|
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International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Department.
|
| ISBN |
9781557756602 |
|
1557756600 |
|
1475590644 |
|
9781475590647 |
|
