| Description |
1 online resource (xxxv, 402 pages) : illustrations |
| Contents |
About the Author; Preface; Brief Contents; Contents; Acknowledgements; Part I: China's Exchange Rate System Reform; Chapter 1 Macroeconomic Conditions and Debates Before the Reform; 1.1 Macroeconomic Conditions Before the Reform; 1.1.1 The Beginning of China's Persistent Trade Surplus; 1.1.2 The Asian Financial Crisis: The Beginning of the Peg to US Dollar; 1.1.3 The Weakening US Dollar Since Early 2002: Reasons and Impact; 1.1.4 Other Macroeconomic Performance Before the Reform; 1.2 Debate Before the Reform: Risk of Various Proposals |
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Chapter 2 Transitional and Medium-Term Designs of the Reform2.1 The Proposed Transitional Reform; 2.1.1 Gradual Appreciation, No Major or Medium Jump in Exchange Rate and No Widening of Band; 2.1.2 A Basket of Currencies with Special Care to the Exchange Rate Against the US Dollar at the Early Stage; 2.1.3 A Narrow Exchange Rate Band at the Early Stage; 2.2 The Proposed Medium-Term Arrangements; 2.2.1 The Debating Process Before the Medium-Term Recommendation; 2.2.2 The Medium-Term Recommendation; Chapter 3 Supplementary Measures |
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3.1 Prolonged Asset Inflation and Then Economic Crisis: A Major Potential Threat to China's Economic Development3.2 Supplementary Measures; 3.2.1 Banking Reform; 3.2.2 Control of Asset Inflation; 3.2.3 Variable Wage Component; 3.2.4 Capital Control; Chapter 4 The Transitional Reform in 2005; 4.1 The Reform Announced in July 2005; 4.2 Market Response at the Early Stage; 4.3 Two Important Characteristics That Contribute to the Initial Success; 4.4 Proposed Measures to Deal With the Speculative Inflows; 4.4.1 Measures That Discourage Speculative Inflows |
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4.4.2 Measures That Offset the Impacts of Speculative Inflows4.5 Further Discussions on the Offsetting Measures; 4.5.1 Importance of Maintaining Capital Control at That Time; 4.5.2 The Moderate Speculative Inflows Was Still within the Central Bank's Sterilization Capacity; 4.5.3 Two Other Important Sources of Inflows; 4.5.4 Some Basic Principles to Guide the Direction of the Offsetting Measures; 4.5.5 Ways to Build in More Controllability and Adjustability on Potential Outflows; 4.6 More Following-Up Comments on the Offsetting Measures |
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4.6.1 Need to Scale Up the Offsetting Measures and Maintain a Trade Surplus4.6.2 An Accounting Hurdle on the Recommended Sterilization; 4.7 Actions Taken by the Chinese Government; 4.8 The Moderate Mistake Committed by China's Central Bank Between Mid-2006 and Early 2008; Chapter 5 Further Proposals on Supplementary Measures After the Transitional Reform; 5.1 The Potential Disaster of Developing the Renminbi Forward or Futures Market at That Time; 5.1.1 The Chinese Central Bank's Initial Proposal to Develop the Renminbi Forward Market; 5.1.2 The Potential Damage |
| Summary |
The author of this book is the original proponent of China's exchange rate system reform announced in 2005. This book discusses : The transitional, medium-term and long-term designs of the reform; China's achievements and mistakes on the reform; China's banking reform and its lessons to other emerging economies; Maintaining a certain trade surplus as a dynamically optimal choice for China; China's stock market bubble and the gradual bubble squeezing strategy; China's property inflation and its solution; China's fiscal and monetary policies during and after the global financial tsunami; Risk of global asset inflation, CPI inflation and cycle of exchange rate after the financial tsunami; Likelihood of an asset bubble and then a crisis in economies outside the US during the overheated phase of the recovery. Through these discussions, the author hopes to share his knowledge on macroeconomic policy management accumulated over the past thirty five years. In particular, he would like to share his insights on macroeconomic policy management before, during and after an asset inflation era or a crisis period. He would also like to warn policy makers and financial investors on the likelihood of an asset bubble and then a crisis in economies outside the US. The author hopes this book could eventually stimulate the emergence of "macroeconomic policy management" as a new and important discipline in economics. While the focus of the book is on macroeconomic policy management, it also offers important lessons and strategies on share and property investments. Thus, economists, policy makers, central bank officials, economics students, business and finance professionals, individual investors and academia in other disciplines will find the book useful |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references (pages 391-393) and index |
| Notes |
Print version record |
| Subject |
Foreign exchange rates -- China
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BUSINESS & ECONOMICS -- Foreign Exchange.
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Economic history
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Economic policy
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Foreign exchange rates
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| SUBJECT |
China -- Economic conditions -- 2000-
http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh99010023
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China -- Economic policy.
http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85024018
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| Subject |
China
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| Genre/Form |
History
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| Form |
Electronic book
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| LC no. |
2011315373 |
| ISBN |
9789814289115 |
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9814289116 |
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128343332X |
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9781283433327 |
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