Non-oil sector growth -- Fiscal management of Kazakhstan's oil wealth -- An analysis of bank credit growth -- Long-term prospects for the real value of the Tenge
Summary
This Selected Issues paper on the Republic of Kazakhstan underlies growth of the non-oil sector, fiscal management of oil wealth, and bank credit growth. The share of tradables in the non-oil sector has declined significantly, both in terms of value added and employment, while many nontradable activities, especially services and construction, have expanded. Kazakhstan can sustain non-oil deficits of more than 5 percent of GDP in the near term without reducing the value of oil wealth. Recent developments in the pattern of bank lending and borrowing have led to increased exposure to the property sector and international financial markets