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Author MacFarlan, Maitland.

Title The macroeconomic impact of HIV/AIDS in Botswana / Maitland MacFarlan and Silvia Sgherri
Published [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, Research Dept. and African Dept., [2001]
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Description 1 online resource (42 pages) : illustrations
Series IMF working paper ; WP/01/80
IMF working paper ; WP/01/80
Summary This paper provides an overview of the potential macroeconomic effects of HIV/AIDS in Botswana, focusing on the key channels through which the pandemic is likely to affect the economic outlook and on the uncertainties involved. To estimate the impact of HIV/AIDS, a dual-economy equilibrium model is constructed and simulated under different scenarios. Depending on exactly how AIDS affects the outlook, GDP growth is projected to fall from around 5 1/2 percent a year without the pandemic to between 1 1/2 and 2 1/2 percent a year with AIDS. Non-negligible redistribution effects across sectors and labor skill categories are also likely to arise. Finally, the paper draws attention to the potential effects of HIV/AIDS on the long-term fiscal position of Botswana, highlighting the need for increased international support and/or lower drug prices so that the widespread introduction of anti-retroviral drug treatments is feasible
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 41-42)
Notes Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002. MiAaHDL
digitized 2010 HathiTrust Digital Library committed to preserve pda MiAaHDL
Print version record
Subject AIDS (Disease) -- Economic aspects -- Botswana -- Econometric models.
HIV infections -- Economic aspects -- Botswana -- Econometric models.
Form Electronic book
Author Sgherri, Silvia.
International Monetary Fund. African Department.
International Monetary Fund. Research Department.
ISBN 1281387061