Title Riding global financial waves : the economic impact of global financial shocks on emerging market economies / prepared by Gustavo Adler and Camilo E. Tovar

Published [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, 2012

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Description 1 online resource (26 pages) Series IMF working paper ; WP/12/188 IMF working paper ; WP/12/188. Contents Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Recurrent Episodes of Global Financial Stress; III. Financial Integration and Economic Fundamentals: Acting in Opposing Directions?; IV. The Impact of Global Financial shocks; A. Sample, Data, and Econometric Approach; B. Cross-Sectional Results; V. Assessing Vulnerabilities: Simulation Analysis; VI. Conclusions; Annex 1; Annex 2; Annex 3; References; Figures; 1. Global Financial Shocks, 1990-2011; 2. Key Variables during Episodes of Global Financial Shocks, 1990-2011; 3. Financial Openness, 1990-2011; 4. EMEs and SAEs Financial Openness, 2010 5. Macroeconomic Fundamentals, 1990-20106. Key Macroeconomic Fundamentals in EMEs and SAEs, 2010 versus 2000; 7. Output Performance during Global Financial Shocks, 1990-2011; 8. Output Performance during Global Financial Shocks, 1990-2011; 9. Output Performance and Fundamentals during Global Financial Shocks, 1990-2011; 10. Macro Fundamentals and the Impact of Global Shocks; 11. Impact of Global Shock; Tables; 1. Global Financial Shocks, 1990-2011; 2. Main Results of Cross-Section Estimation; Annex 1. Key Global Variables during Global Financial Shocks, 1990-2011 Summary Over the past two decades, most emerging market economies witnessed two key developments. A marked process of financial integration with the rest of the world, arguably turning these economies more vulnerable to global financial shocks; and an improvement of macroeconomic fundamentals, helping to increase their resiliency to these shocks. Against a backdrop of these opposing forces, are these economies more vulnerable to global financial shocks today than in the past? Have better fundamentals offset increasing financial integration? If so, what fundamentals matter most? We address these questions by examining the role of these two forces over the past two decades in amplifying or buffering the economic impact of these shocks. Our findings show that EMEs, with the exception of Emerging Europe, have become less vulnerable. Exchange rate flexibility and external sustainability are key determinants of the impact of these shocks, while the extent to which deeper financial integration is a source of vulnerability depends on the exchange rate regime Notes "July 2012." At head of title: Western Hemisphere Department Bibliography Includes bibliographical references Notes English Subject Financial crises -- Developing countries -- Econometric models Capital movements -- Developing countries -- Econometric models Foreign exchange administration -- Developing countries -- Econometric models Financial risk. BUSINESS & ECONOMICS -- Finance. Capital movements -- Econometric models Financial crises -- Econometric models Foreign exchange administration -- Econometric models Developing countries Form Electronic book Author Tovar Mora, Camilo Ernesto, author. International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Department. ISBN 9781475566789 1475566786 1475505361 9781475505368 1475574002 9781475574005 1475570066 9781475570069

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