Title A conservative revolution? : electoral change in twenty-first-century Ireland / edited by Michael Marsh, David M. Farrell and Gail McElroy

Published Oxford, UK : Oxford University Press, 2017

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Description 1 online resource (xx, 255 pages) Contents Cover; A Conservative Revolution?: Electoral Change in Twenty-First-Century Ireland; Copyright; Foreword; Editors' Preface; Contents; List of Figures; List of Tables; Abbreviations; List of Contributors; 1: Introduction: The 2011 Election in Context; Introduction; An 'Electoral Earthquake?'; Research on Irish Election Results; The Structure of this Volume; Elections in a Time of Economic Crisis; References; 2: Class Politics in Ireland: How Economic Catastrophe Realigned Irish Politics; Introduction; Class Politics in Ireland; The Realigning 2011 Election; Analysis The Determinants of Voting from 2002 to 2011; Why did People Desert Fianna Fáil and where did they Go?; Conclusion; References; 3: The Economy and the Vote in Irish National Elections; Governmental Popularity and the Economy, 1970s-1990s; The Irish Voter and the Economy: The 2002 Baseline; Economic Voting during Changing Times: 2001-2007; Economic Voting in a Crisis: 2011; The 2011 Economic Effects: A Simple Confirmative Analysis (and the Restricted Variance Problem); How to Overcome the Restricted Variance Problem? Use Time; Summary and Conclusions; References 4: Economic Voting through Boom and Bust: Information and Choice at Irish General Elections, 2002-2011; Introduction; Economic Voting: The Role of the Media; Data: Irish National Elections and the Economic Collapse; Measurement of Vote Choice, Media Reporting, and Control Variables; Results; Discussion and Conclusions; Appendix; References; 5: Party Competition in Ireland: The Emergence of a Left-Right Dimension?; Introduction; Left and Right Party Placement in Ireland; Left-Right Correlation with Socio-Economic Policy Issues; Overall Distribution of the Population and Candidates; Conclusion Appendix; References; 6: The Lack of Party System Change in Ireland in 2011; Introduction; A Country Fit for Independents; Moving from Candidate Centred to Party Organized; Space for a New Party?; Electoral Institutions and Candidates; Conclusion; References; 7: How Generational Replacement Undermined the Electoral Resilience of Fianna Fáil; Introduction; The Irish Party System and Patterns of Party Support and Electoral Competition; Generational Replacement and its Implications; Preferences for Multiple Parties; Data and Analytical Design; How Strongly Do Fianna Fáil Voters Prefer Fianna Fáil? The Vulnerability of Fianna Fáil Potential Electoral Support; Compatibility or Incompatibility of Electoral Preferences for Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael; Concluding Remarks; Appendix: Definition of Various Kinds of Potential Electorates and their Overlaps; References; 8: The Malleable Nature of Party Identification; Expectations Regarding the Effects of Citizens' Evaluations of Policy Performance on Party Identification; Measuring Citizens' Evaluations of Policy Performance and Party Identification; Aggregate Levels of Partisanship in 2002, 2007, and 2011 Summary The 2011 general election in the Republic of Ireland, which took place against a backdrop of economic collapse, was one of the most dramatic ever witnessed. The most notable outcome was the collapse of Fianna Fáil, one of the world's most enduring and successful parties. In comparative terms Fianna Fáil's defeat was among the largest experienced by a major party in the history of parliamentary democracy. It went from being the largest party in the state (a position it had held since 1932) to being a bit player in Irish political life. And yet ultimately, there was much that remained the same, perhaps most distinctly of all the fact that no new parties emerged. It was, if anything, a 'conservative revolution'. A Conservative Revolution? examines underlying voter attitudes in the period 2002-11. Drawing on three national election studies the book follows party system evolution and voter behaviour from boom to bust. These data permits an unprecedented insight into a party system and its voters at a time of great change, as the country went through a period of rapid growth to become one of Europe's wealthiest states in the early twenty-first century to economic meltdown in the midst of the international Great Recession, all of this in the space of a single decade. In the process, this study explores many of the well-established norms and conventional wisdoms of Irish electoral behaviour that make it such an interesting case study for comparison with other industrialized democracies Bibliography Includes bibliographical references and index Notes Online resource; title from PDF title page (EBSCO, viewed March 16, 2017) Subject Elections -- Ireland -- History -- 21st century Voting -- Ireland POLITICAL SCIENCE -- Political Process -- Elections. POLITICAL SCIENCE -- Political Process -- General. Elections Politics and government Voting SUBJECT Ireland -- Politics and government -- 21st century Subject Ireland Genre/Form Electronic books History Form Electronic book Author Marsh, Michael, Ph. D., editor. ISBN 9780191804021 0191804029 9780191061622 019106162X

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