Chaos in Libya -- Morocco, Tunisia and Algeria -- The wider regional security crisis -- Tensions between Morocco and Algeria -- The wider dimension -- Conclusion
Summary
"Over the five years since the Arab Spring overturned the established political order inside the Middle East and North Africa, there have been profound changes in the balances-of-power there. States that seemed innately stable have been overthrown, thus demonstrating the danger of assuming that autocracy guaranteed stability; states that sought regional hegemony have seen their assumptions about external support overturned and challenged by geopolitical realities masquerading as sectarianism, and outside powers that had been assumed to possess an immutable dominance over regional affairs have had to begin to accommodate challenges from former adversaries now revived by the ending of 'hegemonic stability.' The result has been a bewildering complexity in regional affairs that makes any prediction over the future there extremely challenging"--Page 12
