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Book Cover
Author Hunt, Priscillia, author

Title Evaluation of the Shreveport predictive policing experiment / Priscillia Hunt, Jessica Saunders, John S. Hollywood
Published Santa Monica, Calif : RAND Corporation, [2014]
Online access available from:
JSTOR Open Access    View Resource Record  


Description 1 online resource (xxi, 62 pages) : graphs, plans (some color)
Contents Introduction -- PILOT process evaluation -- PILOT impact evaluation -- PILOT cost evaluation -- Conclusions -- Appendix: Technical details
Summary "Even though there is a growing interest in predictive policing, to date there have been few, if any, formal evaluations of these programs. This report documents an assessment of a predictive policing effort in Shreveport, Louisiana, in 2012, which was conducted to evaluate the crime reduction effects of policing guided by statistical predictions. RAND researchers led multiple interviews and focus groups with the Shreveport Police Department throughout the course of the trial to document the implementation of the statistical predictive and prevention models. In addition to a basic assessment of the process, the report shows the crime impacts and costs directly attributable to the strategy. It is hoped that this will provide a fuller picture for police departments considering if and how a predictive policing strategy should be adopted. There was no statistically significant change in property crime in the experimental districts that applied the predictive models compared with the control districts; therefore, overall, the intervention was deemed to have no effect. There are both statistical and substantive possibilities to explain this null effect. In addition, it is likely that the predictive policing program did not cost any more than the status quo."--"Abstract" on web page
Notes "RAND Corporation research report series."
"RR-531-NIJ."--Page 4 of cover
"The research described in this report was sponsored by the National Institute of Justice and was conducted in the Safety and Justice Program within RAND Justice, Infrastructure, and Environment."--Title page verso
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 61-62)
Notes "This project was supported ... by the National Institute of Justice, Office of Justice Programs, U.S. Department of Justice."--Verso of title page." ... by Award No. 2009-IJ-CX-K114."
Online resource; title from PDF title page (RAND, viewed August 06, 2014)
Subject Crime prevention -- Louisiana -- Shreveport.
Forecasting -- Statistical methods.
Law enforcement -- Louisiana -- Shreveport.
Offenses against property -- Prevention.
Police administration -- Louisiana -- Shreveport -- Case studies.
Regression analysis.
Social prediction -- Louisiana -- Shreveport.
Genre/Form Case studies.
Technical reports.
Case studies.
Form Electronic book
Author Hollywood, John S., 1973- author
Saunders, Jessica M., 1978- author
National Institute of Justice (U.S.), sponsor
Rand Corporation, issuing body
Rand Safety and Justice (Program), researcher
LC no. 2012474715
ISBN 083308691X
0833089900 (electronic bk.)
9780833089908 (electronic bk.)