Title Trade the Congressional effect how to profit from Congress's impact on the stock market / Eric T. Singer

Published Hoboken, N.J. : Wiley, 2012

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Description 1 online resource Series Wiley trading series Contents Trade the Congressional Effect; Contents; Acknowledgments; Introduction; Our Damaged Economy; Congress's Role in Wealth Destruction; Summary; Notes; Chapter 1 What Is the Congressional Effect?; How Was the Congressional Effect Discovered?; Early Returns Showing the Congressional Effect; The Smoot-Hawley Act: The Mother of All Congressional Effects; The Congressional Effect Data and Launching a Mutual Fund; Summary; Notes; Chapter 2 The Congressional Effect and the Limits of Modern Portfolio Theory; How MPT Has Been Used by Financial Advisers Formulas Distort Valuation if Inputs Are Not Free Market InputsWhat Caused the Crash of 1987?; The Magnitude of the Crash of 1987 Refutes MPT; MPT Assumes All Daily Pricing Is Random, but the Congressional Effect Shows It Is Not; Summary; Notes; Chapter 3 Congressmen as Issues Entrepreneurs; The Time-Money-Vote Continuum: Congress as a Business; Congressmen as Traders and Real Estate Entrepreneurs: Making Money Outside Their Day Gig; Summary; Notes; Chapter 4 Behavioral Finance, the Stock Market, and Congressional Dysfunction; Overview of Behavioral Finance Concepts Survey of Behavioral Finance ConceptsSatisficing; Hyperbolic Discounting; Endowment Effect; Anchoring; Separate Mental Accounts; Herd Behavior and Groupthink; Sunk Costs; Confirmation Biases; Overconfidence; Cognitive Reflection; Choice Bracketing; Congress's Approach to Behavioral Finance; Causes of Dysfunction; Anchoring; Status Quo Bias; Current Lack of Cognitive Reflection; Confirmation Bias; Our Innumerate Congress; Groupthink; Investment Fees and Conflicts; Summary; Notes; Chapter 5 If Congress Is Malfunction Junction, What's Its Function? Economic Lifeblood: Investment Capital Formation, the Stock Market, and CongressDodd-Frank Overview; Health Care Reform; Burning Coal and Other Energy Investors; Summary; Notes; Chapter 6 Where Will Washington Strike Next?; Where You Can Find Information; Traditional Print and Mainstream Television Sources; Radio; Online; Think Tanks and Blogs; D.C.-Specific Media; How Congress Passes a Law; How to Leverage This Glut of Information; Summary; Notes; Chapter 7 Sidestepping Congress's Wealth Destruction with a Macro Approach; 11,832 Data Points Support the Congressional Effect Theory Congress and the Tragedy of the CommonsAdam Smith, Call Your Office!; Summary; Notes; Chapter 8 Are Democrats or Republicans Better for Your Portfolio?; Who Gets the Credit for the Bull Market in 1980?; Unified Government Favors Nominal Returns; Split Government Favors Real Returns; Republican Congress vs. Democratic Congress; Filibuster-Proof Majorities Hurt Returns; Summary; Notes; Chapter 9 Leverging the Election Cycle; The Presidential Cycle and Real Returns; The 2012 Election and Beyond; Notes Summary An innovative investment approach that takes the actions of the U.S. Congress into consideration Historical research indicates that, more often than not, when Congress is in session there is a negative effect on equities markets (the "Congressional Effect") due possibly to investor uncertainty surrounding government action or inaction as well as the unintended consequences of Congressional legislative initiatives on the stock market. Author Eric Singer, a financial professional with over twenty-five years of experience, is an expert on this phenomenon, and with this new book he shares his extensive insights with you. Trade the Congressional Effect skillfully details how you can profit from Congress's impact on the stock market. Along the way, it puts this approach in perspective and gives you all the tools you'll need to profitably incorporate it into your investing endeavors. Singer walks you through the process of trading the Congressional Effect and provides practical guidance regarding the possible pitfalls and opportunities you'll face each step of the way.-Addresses why it is better to invest while Congress isn't in session -Reveals exactly what the Congressional Effect encompasses and why it occurs -Written by Eric Singer, one of the first people to publicly document the general effect of Congress on daily stock prices Supported by over forty-five years of real world data, the Congressional Effect has proven profitable to those who know how to use it. This timely guide will show you exactly what it takes to make this phenomenon work for you Bibliography Includes bibliographical references and index Notes Copyright © John Wiley & Sons 2012 Description based on print version record and CIP data provided by publisher Subject United States. Congress. SUBJECT United States / Congress. blmlsh United States. Congress fast Subject Stocks -- Prices -- United States Investments -- United States Portfolio management -- United States BUSINESS & ECONOMICS -- Finance. Investments Portfolio management Stocks -- Prices United States Form Electronic book LC no. 2012025729 ISBN 9781118417096 1118417097 9781118420461 1118420462 9781118434369 1118434366 9781119203681 1119203686 1118362438 9781118362433

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