Description |
1 online resource (15 pages) : color illustrations |
Series |
IMF working paper ; WP/09/256 |
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IMF working paper ; WP/09/256.
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Contents |
Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Implications for Hong Kong SAR of U.S. Monetary Policy; A. The Fed's Unconventional Monetary Policy Actions; B. Impact on Hong Kong SAR; III. A Simulation of Hong Kong SAR Asset and Goods Markets When Confronted by an Accommodative U.S. Monetary Stance; A. Model Overview; B. Model Simulations; IV. Conclusions; References; Footnotes |
Summary |
This paper discusses the potential macroeconomic implications for Hong Kong SAR of accommodative monetary policy in the United States. It shows, through model simulations, that a resumption of the credit channel in Hong Kong SAR has the potential to create inflation in both goods and asset markets. Expansionary financial conditions will likely have a greater impact in fueling asset price inflation, manifested in the model through a strong increase in equity prices. Higher asset prices could, in turn, through a financial accelerator mechanism, lead to further credit expansion and an upward cycle of asset prices and credit. This cycle, if unchecked, can potentially feed into volatility in consumption, output and employment and complicate macroeconomic management. The simulation results suggest there is a role for countercyclical prudential regulations to mitigate the amplitude of the cycle and lessen the financial and macroeconomic volatility associated with an unwinding of the credit-asset price cycle |
Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references (page 15) |
Notes |
Print version record |
Subject |
Economic history
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International economic relations
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SUBJECT |
Hong Kong (China) -- Economic conditions -- Econometric models
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United States -- Foreign economic relations -- China -- Hong Kong
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Hong Kong (China) -- Foreign economic relations -- United States
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Subject |
China -- Hong Kong
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United States
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Form |
Electronic book
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Author |
International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Department.
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ISBN |
1282844504 |
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9781282844506 |
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9781452733913 |
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1452733910 |
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