Description |
ix, 454 pages : illustrations ; 25 cm |
Contents |
Part I. Finding noise: Crime and noisy punishment ; A noisy system ; Singular decision -- Part II. Your mind is a measuring instrument: Matters of judgment ; Measuring error ; The analysis of noise ; Occasion noise ; How groups amplify noise -- Part III. Noise in predictive judgment: Judgments and models ; Noiseless rules ; Objective ignorance ; The valley of the normal -- Part IV. How noise happens: Heuristics, biases, and noise ; The matching operation ; Scale ; Patterns ; The sources of noise -- Part V. Improving judgments: Better judges for better judgments ; Debiasing and decision hygiene ; Sequencing information in forensic science ; Selection and aggregation in forecasting ; Guidelines in medicine ; Defining the scale in performance ratings ; Structure in hiring ; The mediating assessments protocol -- Part VI. Optimal noise: The costs of noise reduction ; Dignity ; Rules or standards? |
Summary |
Discusses why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones by reducing the influence of "noise"--variables that can cause bias in decision making--and draws on examples in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, strategy, and personnel selection |
Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references and index |
Subject |
Decision making
|
|
Reasoning (Psychology)
|
|
Judgment
|
|
Cognitive styles
|
Genre/Form |
Self-help publications
|
|
Self-help publications.
|
|
Self-help publications.
|
Author |
Sibony, Olivier, author
|
|
Sunstein, Cass R., author
|
ISBN |
9780316451406 |
|
0316451401 |
|