Title Transition scenarios : China and the United States in the twenty-first century / David P. Rapkin and William R. Thompson

Published Chicago ; London : University of Chicago Press, 2013

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Description 1 online resource Contents Twenty-first-century transition struggles -- Scenario construction -- Scenarios of future United States-China warfare : what is missing from this picture? -- Power-transition, offensive-realism, and leadership long-cycle perspectives on structural transitions -- Systemic transition dynamics and the conflict drivers in the China-United States transition context -- Constraints on transition conflict -- Weak conflict constraints and weak conflict inducements : the "more of the same" and "Pax Americana II" scenarios -- Weak conflict constraints and strong conflict inducements : the "transition war" scenario -- Strong conflict constraints and strong conflict inducements : the "Pax Sinica" scenario -- Strong conflict constraints and weak conflict inducements : the "liberal peace" scenario -- Using the scenarios in the twenty-first century Summary China's rising status in the global economy alongside recent economic stagnation in Europe and the United States has led to considerable speculation that we are in the early stages of a transition in power relations. Commentators have tended to treat this transitional period as a novelty, but history is in fact replete with such systemic transitions-sometimes with perilous results. Can we predict the future by using the past? And, if so, what might history teach us?With Transition Scenarios, David P. Rapkin and William R. Thompson identify some predictors for pow Bibliography Includes bibliographical references and index Notes Print version record Subject War -- Forecasting POLITICAL SCIENCE -- Government -- International. POLITICAL SCIENCE -- International Relations -- General. International relations War -- Forecasting SUBJECT United States -- Relations -- China China -- Relations -- United States Subject China United States Form Electronic book Author Thompson, William R., author. ISBN 9780226040509 022604050X 1299784690 9781299784697

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