Title Dangerous decade : taiwan's security and crisis management / Brendan Taylor

Published Milton : Routledge, 2019

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Description 1 online resource Series Adelphi Series ; volume 57 (2017), issue 470-471 Adelphi (Series) (International Institute for Strategic Studies) ; 470-471. Adelphi (Series) ; volume 57 (2018), issue 470-471. Contents A shifting status quo -- A complex balance of power -- Tipping points -- Policy options Summary Taiwan's position looks increasingly precarious, and tensions threaten to grow into a major strategic crisis. Chinese President Xi Jinping has made reunification with Taiwan a central pillar of his vision for China, and has ramped up diplomatic and economic pressure on Taiwan. Its inhabitants are increasingly estranged from the mainland, and Tsai Ing-wen's administration refuses to conduct relations with China on Beijing's terms. Taiwan could take on renewed strategic significance amid the backdrop of the deepening rivalry between China and the United States, and find itself at the centre of a Cold War-style superpower confrontation. While Washington's support and military power has historically guaranteed Taiwan's security, this is no longer a certainty. This Adelphi book argues that China's military modernisation has changed the cross-strait military balance, and the ability of the US to prevail in a conflict over Taiwan may have evaporated by 2030. As China feels increasingly empowered to retake Taiwan, there is significant potential for escalation, particularly given the ambiguity of Beijing's red lines' on Taiwan. Neither Beijing, Taipei nor Washington want such a conflict, but each is challenging the uneasy status quo. Taylor calls for the introduction of a narrower set of formal crisis-management mechanisms designed to navigate a major Taiwan crisis Notes Brendan Taylor is Professor of Strategic Studies at the Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, Coral Bell School of Asia Pacific Affairs at the Australian National University. He has published widely on security architecture in the Asia-Pacific, and is the author of The Four Flashpoints: How Asia Goes to War (La Trobe University Press) Subject National security -- Taiwan POLITICAL SCIENCE -- Political Freedom & Security -- International Security. POLITICAL SCIENCE -- Political Freedom & Security -- General. POLITICAL SCIENCE -- International Relations -- General. Diplomatic relations Military policy National security Strategic aspects of individual places SUBJECT Taiwan -- Strategic aspects Taiwan -- Military policy Taiwan -- Foreign relations -- China China -- Foreign relations -- Taiwan Subject China Taiwan Form Electronic book ISBN 9781003005452 1003005454 9781000760330 1000760332 9781000760699 1000760693 9781000760514 1000760510

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