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Book Cover
Author Ribeiro, Marcos Poplawski, 1977- author.

Title Fiscal expectations under the Stability and Growth Pact : evidence from survey data / prepared by Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro and Jan-Christoph Rulke
Published [Washington, D.C.] : International Monetary Fund, ©2011


Description 1 online resource (41 pages)
Series IMF working paper ; WP/11/48
IMF working paper ; WP/11/48.
Summary The paper uses survey data to analyze whether financial market expectations on government budget deficits changed in France, Germany, Italy, and the United Kingdom during the period of the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP). Our findings indicate that accuracy of financial expert deficit forecasts increased in France. Convergence between the European Commission's and market experts' deficit forecasts also increased in France, Italy, and the United Kingdom, particularly during the period after SGP's reform in 2005. Yet, convergence between markets' forecasts and those of the French, German, and Italian national fiscal authorities seems not to have increased significantly during the SGP
Notes Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed March 30, 2011)
At head of title: African Department
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references
SUBJECT Stability and Growth Pact (1997)
Stability and Growth Pact (1997) fast
Subject Debts, Public -- European Union countries
Rational expectations (Economic theory) -- European Union countries
Debts, Public
Rational expectations (Economic theory)
European Union countries -- Forecasting
European Union countries
Form Electronic book
Author Rülke, Jan-Christoph, author.
International Monetary Fund. African Department, issuing body.
ISBN 1283559609