| Description |
1 online resource |
| Contents |
Intro -- Preface and Acknowledgements -- Contents -- About the Author -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- 1 Introduction -- References -- 2 China's Serious Population Challenges -- 2.1 The Challenge of Adjusting the Family Planning Policies -- 2.1.1 Population Size Challenge -- 2.1.2 Population Structure Challenge -- 2.2 The Challenge of Reducing the Provincial Population Differences -- 2.3 Conclusions -- References -- Part IChallenge One: Family Planning Policy -- 3 Population Size Challenge: Low Total Fertility Rate -- 3.1 Introduction -- 3.2 Research Designs and General Findings |
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3.2.1 Research Designs -- 3.2.2 Descriptive Quantitative Analysis -- 3.3 Determinants of the Fertility Intention and Total Fertility Rate in China -- 3.3.1 Demographic Determinants -- 3.3.2 Social Determinants -- 3.3.3 Economic Determinants -- 3.4 Estimation of the Total Fertility Rate -- 3.4.1 Estimated Methods and Data Sources -- 3.4.2 Estimated Total Fertility Rate in China -- 3.5 Data Sources for Studying China's Total Fertility Rate -- 3.6 Suggestions for Improving the Total Fertility Rate -- 3.6.1 Economic Supporting -- 3.6.2 Maternity Benefits -- 3.6.3 Social Welfare |
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3.6.4 Population Policies -- 3.7 Conclusions and Discussions -- References -- 4 Population Structure Challenge: Serious Population Ageing -- 4.1 Introduction -- 4.2 China's Population Ageing: A Brief Sketch -- 4.2.1 Historical Changes -- 4.2.2 Current Circumstances -- 4.2.3 Future Predictions -- 4.3 Consequences of Serious Population Ageing -- 4.3.1 Labour Market -- 4.3.2 Society and the Environment -- 4.3.3 Family Finances and Consumption -- 4.3.4 Exported Products -- 4.3.5 Macroeconomy -- 4.4 Data Sources for Studying China's Population Ageing |
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4.5 Suggestions for Responding to Population Ageing -- 4.5.1 Improving the Retirement Security System -- 4.5.2 Building Elderly-Friendly Communities -- 4.5.3 Developing the Elderly Service Industry -- 4.5.4 Promoting the Healthy Physical and Mental Development of the Elderly -- 4.5.5 Increasing Financial Supports -- 4.6 Conclusions and Discussions -- References -- 5 Population Development Under Different Family Planning Policies -- 5.1 Introduction -- 5.2 System Dynamics Model for Population Simulation -- 5.2.1 Song Jian's Population Development Equation |
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5.2.2 Establishing a System Dynamics Model -- 5.2.3 Model Test -- 5.3 Population Simulation in China Under the Two-Child Policy -- 5.3.1 Parameter Determination -- 5.3.2 Data Sources -- 5.3.3 Theoretical Population Simulation Results -- 5.3.4 Population Simulation Results When Considering Fertility Intentions -- 5.4 Family Planning Policy Comparison -- 5.4.1 Policy Comparison Between the Two-Child Policy and the Selective Two-Child Policy -- 5.4.2 Policy Comparison Among the Two-Child Policy, the One-Child Policy, and Cancellation of Family Planning Policy |
| Summary |
This book explores the population development challenges in China. It started by analyzing two of the major challenges: designing a suitable family planning policy and dealing with the serious provincial population difference. It then proposes effective measures to address these challenges by adopting various quantitative methods, such as system dynamics, nonlinear programming and spatial econometrics in evaluating the effects of different policy scenarios, which made the results more scientific and reliable, thus the final policy suggestions effective and evidence based. The book includes a number of mathematical models and is suitable for graduate students and researchers in population modeling and relevant research areas |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Subject |
Population aging -- China
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Family planning -- China
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Sociology: family & relationships.
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Population & demography.
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Social Science -- Sociology -- Marriage & Family.
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Social Science -- Demography.
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Family planning
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Population aging
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Population policy
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| SUBJECT |
China -- Population policy
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| Subject |
China
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| Form |
Electronic book
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| ISBN |
9789811580109 |
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9811580103 |
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