Modeling sociocultural influences on decision making : understanding conflict, enabling stability / editors, Joseph V. Cohn, Sae Schatz, Hannah Freeman, David J.Y. Combs
Cover ; Half Title; Title Page; Copyright Page; Dedication ; Contents ; Foreword; Editors; Contributors; Introduction; Section I: Building Theories; 1. Expeditionary Modeling for Megacities and Other Dense Urban Areas; 2. More than Just a Story: Narrative Insights into Comprehension, Ideology, and Decision Making; 3. The Spread of Information via Social Media; 4. The Spread of Opinions in Societies; 5. Culture's Influences on Cognitive Reflection; 6. Cultural Influences on Cognitive Biases in Judgment and Decision Making: On the Need for New Theory and Models for Accidents and Safety
Section II: Collecting and Analyzing Data7. The Sixty Percent Mission: An Introduction to High-Risk Ethnography Process and Protocol in Support of the US Army's Civil Affairs Humanitarian Mission; 8. Challenges in Connecting with the Disconnected: An Introduction to Connecting with Communities Disconnected from the Rest of the World; 9. They Are Beyond WEIRD: Helpful Frameworks for Conducting Non-WEIRD Research; 10. Deciphering the Emic Perspective in Data in Order to Assess Threat; 11. Collecting Data and Semantic Content via Mobile Devices
12. Measuring Changes in Attitudes: Using Factor Analysis to Track Population Attitudes Spatially and Temporally13. Gaining Insight by Applying Geographical Modeling; Section III: Building and Validating Sociocultural Models; 14. Sociocultural Capability Requirements across All Phases of Military Operations; 15. Methods to Characterize and Manage Uncertainty for Sociocultural Applications; 16. Validating Causal and Predictive Claims in Sociocultural Models; 17. Rapid Generation of Political Conflict Simulations for Scenarios around the World
18. Detailed Model Development Case Study: The Peace GameSection IV: Applying Sociocultural Models to Gain Insight into Conflict and Instability; 19. Using the Social Framework Model of Trust to Better Understand Trust in Government; 20. Understanding Public Opinion toward Violent Extremists; 21. Modeling Sociocultural Influences on Decision Making: Assessing Conflict and Stability; 22. Modeling Social System Resiliency: An Agent-Based Multiscale Approach; 23. Applying Modeling and Simulation to Foreign Policy: An Afghan Example; Subject Index; Author Index
