Cover -- Half Title -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- Preface -- 1. The Needle Challenge: From Shipping Vessels to the Insider Threat -- 2. What Is a Needle in a Haystack?: A Lesson from Miss Lucy and Vladimir Putin -- 3. How Are Rare Events Formed?: Modeling through the Galton Machine -- 4. Crying Wolf: False Alarms and Their Price -- 5. Why Is It Difficult to Find the Needle?: On Rare and Common Paths -- 6. Why Do We Fail to Find the Needle?: The Binary Fallacy and the Bayesian Approach
7. How to Reduce the Size of the Haystack: On Impostors, Cats, and False Positives -- 8. Needles in the Wild: Some Lessons from Nature -- 9. Lupus and the Needle: A Contextual-Dynamic Approach to the Needle Challenge -- 10. How to Deal with Tiny Datasets: The Power of AI -- 11. Concluding Discussion: Isolated Lights in the Abyss of Ignorance -- Index
