1. Introduction -- 2. A Primer on the Cold War Nuclear Debate -- 3. An Introduction to Intuitive Deterrence Theories -- 4. Competing Hypotheses About Nuclear Thinking -- 5. The Novice Strategists -- 6. The Intuitive Calculus of Nuclear Deterrence -- 7. Statistical Tests of the Intuitive Deterrence Calculus -- 8. Expert Nuclear Reasoning -- 9. The Factional Politics of Strategy and the End of the Cold War Arms Race -- 10. Nuclear Thinking After the Cold War