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E-book
Author Wells, Willard

Title Apocalypse when? : calculating how long the human race will survive / Willard Wells
Published Berlin ; New York : Springer ; Chichester, UK : Published in association with Praxis, ©2009

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Description 1 online resource (xxii, 212 pages) : illustrations
Series Springer-Praxis books in popular science
Springer-Praxis books in popular science.
Contents Title Page; Copyright Page; Table of contents; Preface; Acknowledgments; Figures; Pictures; Tables; Algebraic symbols; Abbreviations and acronym; About the author; Introduction; 1 Formulation; 2 Confirmation; 3 Double jeopardy; 4 Human survivability; 5 Apocalypse how?; Appendix A Survival formula derived from hazard rates; Appendix B Posterior survivalitity; Appendix C Infinite mean duration; Appendix D Survival predictor from Bayes' theory; Appendix E Stage productions running on specified dates; Appendix F Extinction rates of prehistoric taxa; Appendix G Disaggregated mortality
Summary Relies on intuitive probability formulations that are suitable for readers with a modest knowledge of astronomy, mathematics, and statistics. This book explains and gives examples of the conditions under which the author's principle is valid and provides evidence that can counteract the arguments of critics who would reject it entirely
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 205-208) and index
Notes Print version record
Subject Human ecology.
Human beings -- Effect of environment on.
Disaster victims -- Forecasting
Probability measures.
human ecology.
Sciences de la terre.
Environnement.
Astronomie.
Human beings -- Effect of environment on
Human ecology
Probability measures
Genre/Form dissertations.
Academic theses
Academic theses.
Thèses et écrits académiques.
Form Electronic book
ISBN 9780387098371
0387098372
9781282826113
1282826115