| Description |
1 online resource (35 pages) |
| Series |
IMF Working Papers |
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IMF Working Papers
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| Contents |
I. Introduction; II. Methodology; III. Empirical Analysis of Middle East and Central Asian Countries Elasticities; A. Model Specification and Empirical Strategy; B. Estimation Results; Tables; 1. Volume of Imports: Coefficient Estimates and Implied Elasticities; 2. Export Volumes: Coefficient Estimates and Implied Elasticities; C. Trade Balances; 3. Non-Oil Export Volumes: Coefficient Estimates and Implied Elasticities; 4. Decomposition of the Impact of a Ten Percent Real Depreciation on the Trade Balance of Middle East and Central Asia Countries |
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5. Trade Balance Elasticities for Non-Oil Exporting Middle East and Central Asia Countries, 2006 and 20136. Trade Balance Elasticities for Middle East and Central Asia Oil Exporters, and 2013; IV. A Generalized Approach; A. Generalized CGER Methodology; B. Empirical Estimation of the Elasticities of the Relative Import and Export Prices to the Real Exchange Rate; 7. Relative Import and Export Price Elasticities to the Real Effective Exchange Rate; C. Alternative Trade Balance Elasticities |
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8. Decomposition of the Impact of a 10 Percent Real Depreciation on the Trade Balance of Non-Oil Exporting Middle East and Central Asia Countries9. Decomposition of the Impact of a 10 Percent Real Depreciation on the Trade Balance of Oil-Exporting Middle East and Central Asia Countries; V. Conclusions; References; Appendices; 1. Data Appendix; 2. Derivation of the Formula for the Elasticity of the Trade Balance Vis-à-vis the Real Exchange Rate |
| Summary |
The analysis in this paper suggests that import and export volume elasticities are markedly lower in oil-exporting Middle East and Central Asian countries than in non-oil countries in the region. A key implication of this finding is that a real appreciation of the exchange rate in oil-exporting countries would achieve little in terms of expenditure switching: an appreciation does not boost imports and non-oil exports constitute only a small share of GDP and total trade in these countries. Therefore, while a real appreciation lowers the current account surplus of oil-exporting countries through |
| Notes |
Print version record |
| Subject |
Elasticity (Economics) -- Middle East
|
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Elasticity (Economics) -- Asia, Central
|
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Elasticity (Economics) -- Econometric models
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Elasticity (Economics)
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Elasticity (Economics) -- Econometric models
|
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Central Asia
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Middle East
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| Form |
Electronic book
|
| Author |
Hakura, Dalia
|
| ISBN |
9781451915273 |
|
1451915276 |
|
