METHODS OF FORECASTING AMERICAN ELECTION OUTCOMES: Studies in Strategies of Prediction; Copyright Page; Dedication; Table of Contents; Foreword; Acknowledgements; Introduction; Chapter 1 -- A Tale of Two Models: The DeSart and Holbrook State-Level Forecast Model in 2008; Chapter 2 -- Summative Assessment of the Performance of Forecasting Models in American Presidential Elections; Chapter 3 -- The Next Generation of US Presidential Election Prediction Models; Chapter 4 -- Development of a Methodology for Prediction of inner in AmericanPresidential Elections
Chapter 5 -- Predictors of Success in State Legislative CampaigningChapter 6 -- ""From the Gut:"" How Real-World Political Practitioners Make Judgments; Chapter 7 -- Fiscal Policy and Vote-Getting Efficiency in Presidential Elections: A Data Envelopment Analysis, 1880-2008; Conclusion; Index
Summary
This interdisciplinary monograph analyzes presidential and legislative elections themes. Topics covered in the work include a critical discussion of all the forecasting models used in the past 20 years, and an examination of the forecasting of Presidential elections from an engineering and mathematical point of view, and actual mathematical equations between predicted votes and the polls
