Description |
1 online resource (34 pages :) : illustrations |
Series |
IMF working paper ; WP/13/144 |
|
IMF working paper ; WP/13/144.
|
Contents |
Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Literature Review: Revenue Management from Non-Renewable Natural Resources; III. Cameroon: Experience and Issues; Figures; Figure 1. Cameroon: Revenue and Expenditure, 1980 -- 2011; IV. The Model; A. Representative Agent Maximization Problem; B. Production; C. Fiscal Policy and the Ramsey Problem; V. Model Calibration and Simulation Method; Tables; Table 1. Bayesian Posterior Means of the Model; Table 2. Maximum Likelihood Estimates; VI. Results of Policy Scenarios; A. "Scaling-Up with Reform" Scenario; B. "Conservative" Scenario |
|
Figure 2. Cameroon: Public Investment Path, 2012 -- 32Figure 3. Cameroon: Scaling-Up with Reform Scenario, 2012-32; Figure 4. Policy Scenarios with Oil Endowment Depleting by 2032; C. "Scaling-Up No Reform" Scenario; VII. Conclusion and Policy Implications; Appendix: First Order Conditions; Figure 5. Cameroon: Selected Economic Indicators, 1980-2010; References |
Summary |
This paper assesses the implications of the use of oil revenue for public investment on growth and fiscal sustainability in Cameroon. We develop a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to analyze the effects of such investment on growth and on the path of key fiscal indicators, such as the non-oil primary deficit and public debt. Policy scenarios show that Cameroon's large infrastructural needs and relatively low current debt levels could justify a temporary deviation from traditional policy advice that suggests saving part of the oil revenue to smooth expenditure over time. Model simulations show that a relatively high degree of efficiency of public investment is needed for scaled-up public investment to make a significant contribution to growth, while maintaining fiscal sustainability |
Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references |
Notes |
English |
|
Print version record |
Subject |
Public investments -- Cameroon
|
|
Economic history
|
|
Public investments
|
SUBJECT |
Cameroon -- Economic conditions.
http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85019137
|
Subject |
Cameroon
|
Form |
Electronic book
|
Author |
Priscilla, Muthoora, author
|
|
Versailles, Bruno, 1978- author.
|
|
International Monetary Fund, issuing body.
|
ISBN |
1484353080 |
|
9781484353080 |
|
1484302966 |
|
9781484302965 |
|
1484322061 |
|
9781484322062 |
|
1484318250 |
|
9781484318256 |
ISSN |
2227-8885 |
|