Title Modeling terrorism risk to the air transportation system : an independent assessment of TSA's risk management analysis tool and associated methods / Andrew R. Morral [and others]

Published Santa Monica, CA : Rand Corporation, 2012

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JSTOR Open Access

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Description 1 online resource (xxii, 146 pages) : color illustrations Series RAND Corporation monograph series ; MG1241 Rand Corporation monograph series ; MG1241 Contents Introduction -- RMAT adversary model -- RMAT defender model -- RMAT data requirements and sources -- RMAT model performance and management -- Supporting TSA management and investment decisions with RMAT -- Conclusions -- Requirements for a TSA risk assessment -- Bibliography Summary RAND evaluated a terrorism risk modeling tool developed by the Transportation Security Administration and Boeing to help guide program planning for aviation security. This tool, the Risk Management Analysis Tool, or RMAT, is used by TSA to estimate the terrorism risk-reduction benefits attributable to new and existing security programs, technologies, and procedures. RMAT simulates terrorist behavior and success in attacking vulnerabilities in the domestic commercial air transportation system, drawing on estimates of terrorist resources, capabilities, preferences, decision processes, intelligence collection, and operational planning. It describes how the layers of security protecting the air transportation system are likely to perform when confronted by more than 60 types of attacks, drawing on detailed blast and other physical modeling to understand the damage produced by different weapons and attacks, and calculating expected loss of life and the direct and indirect economic consequences of that damage. This report describes RAND's conclusions about the validity of RMAT for TSA's intended uses and its recommendations for how TSA should perform cost-benefit analyses of its security programs Notes At head of title: RAND Homeland Security and Defense Center Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 135-146) Notes English Print version record In Books at JSTOR: Open Access JSTOR Subject United States. Transportation Security Administration -- Rules and practice -- Evaluation SUBJECT United States. Transportation Security Administration fast Subject Risk management -- Mathematical models Terrorism -- United States -- Prevention Aeronautics -- United States -- Safety measures -- Evaluation Aeronautics, Commercial -- Security measures -- United States -- Evaluation POLITICAL SCIENCE -- Political Freedom. Risk management -- Mathematical models Terrorism -- Prevention United States Form Electronic book Author Morral, Andrew R National Defense Research Institute (U.S.) Rand Corporation RAND Homeland Security and Defense Center ISBN 9780833079749 0833079743

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