| Description |
1 online resource |
| Contents |
Introduction. Decision making under uncertainty -- The weather prediction enterprise -- Working the weather -- Distilling complexity -- Managing risk -- Anticipating the future -- Whose weather is it anyway? -- Toward a sociology of decision making |
| Summary |
Though we commonly make them the butt of our jokes, weather forecasters are in fact exceptionally good at managing uncertainty. They consistently do a better job calibrating their performance than stockbrokers, physicians, or other decision-making experts precisely because they receive feedback on their decisions in near real time. Following forecasters in their quest for truth and accuracy, therefore, holds the key to the analytically elusive process of decision making as it actually happens. In 'Masters of Uncertainty', Phaedra Daipha develops a new conceptual framework for the process of decision making, after spending years immersed in the life of a northeastern office of the National Weather Service. Arguing that predicting the weather will always be more craft than science, Daipha shows how forecasters have made a virtue of the unpredictability of the weather |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Notes |
Print version record |
| Subject |
United States. National Weather Service
|
|
United States. National Weather Service |
|
Umschulungswerkstätten für Siedler und Auswanderer Bitterfeld |
|
Weather forecasting -- United States
|
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Weather forecasting -- Decision making
|
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SCIENCE -- Earth Sciences -- Geography.
|
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SCIENCE -- Earth Sciences -- Geology.
|
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Weather forecasting
|
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Wettervorhersage
|
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Meteorologe
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Arbeitswelt
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United States
|
| Form |
Electronic book
|
| LC no. |
2015005398 |
| ISBN |
9780226298719 |
|
022629871X |
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