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Author Gollier, Christian, author.

Title The welfare cost of ignoring the beta / Christian Gollier
Published London : Centre for Economic Policy Research, 2021

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Description 1 online resource (23 pages) : illustrations
Series Discussion paper series, 0265-8003 ; no. 16007 Public economics Climate change RPN
Discussion paper (Centre for Economic Policy Research (Great Britain)) ; no. 16007.
Summary Because of risk aversion, any sensible investment valuation system should value less projects that contribute more to the aggregate risk, i.e., that have a larger income-elasticity of net benefits. In theory, this is done by adjusting discount rates to consumption betas. But in reality, for various reasons (Arrow-Lind and WACC fallacies, market failures), most public and private institutions and people use a discount rate that is rather insensitive to the risk profile of their investment projects. I show in this paper that the economic consequences of the implied misallocation of capital are dire. To do this, I calibrate a Lucas model in which the investment opportunity set contains a myriad of projects with different expected returns and risk profiles. The welfare loss of using a single discount rate is equivalent to a permanent reduction in consumption that lies somewhere between 15% and 45%, depending upon which familiar discounting system is used. Economists should devote more energy to support a reform of public discounting systems in favor of what has been advocated by the normative interpretation of modern asset pricing theories over the last four decades
Notes "Published 04 April 2021"
"Submitted 29 March 2021"
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 19-21)
Notes Description based on online resource; title from http://www.cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=16007 viewed April 5, 2021
Subject Assets (Accounting) -- Prices -- Economic aspects
Discount -- Economic aspects
Greenhouse gas mitigation -- Economic aspects
Environmental economics.
Environmental economics.
Form Electronic book
Author Centre for Economic Policy Research (Great Britain), publisher.