| Description |
1 online resource |
| Series |
Complex networks and dynamic systems ; v. 1 |
|
Complex networks and dynamic systems ; v. 1.
|
| Contents |
INTRODUCTION -- In Search of Foresight Methodologies: Riddle or Necessity / Maria Giaoutzi, Bartolomeo Sapio -- THEORIZING ABOUT FORESIGHT METHODOLOGIES -- Defining the Future: Concepts and Definitions as Linguistic Fundamentals of Foresight / Ruud van der Helm -- Classification of Tools and Approaches Applicable in Foresight Studies / Jan Erik Karlsen, Hanne Karlsen M. Phil. -- Bridging Qualitative and Quantitative Methods in Foresight / Matthias K.B. Lüdeke -- New Emerging Issues and Wild Cards as Future Shakers and Shapers / Victor van Rij -- SYSTEM CONTENT ISSUES -- Forms of Reasoning in Pattern Management and in Strategic Intelligence / Tuomo Kuosa -- Micro-Meso-Macro: From the Heritage of the Oracle to Foresight / Péter Alács -- Going from Narrative to Number: Indicator-Driven Scenario Quantification / Eric Kemp-Benedict -- On Foresight Design and Management: A Classification Framework for Foresight Exercises / Totti Könnölä, Toni Ahlqvist, Annele Eerola, Sirkku Kivisaari, Raija Koivisto -- Will Entrepreneurship, Knowledge Management and Foresight Emerge in a System? / Arturs Puga -- Scenario Transfer Methodology and Technology / Bartolomeo Sapio, Enrico Nicolò -- FORESIGHT TOOLS AND APPROACHES -- Willingness of Stakeholders to Use Models for Climate Policy: The Delft Process / Serge Stalpers, Carolien Kroeze -- Linking Narrative Storylines and Quantitative Models to Combat Desertification in the Guadalentín Watershed (Spain) / Kasper Kok, Hedwig van Delden -- Scenario Planning as a Tool in Foresight Exercises: The LIPSOR Approach / Anastasia Stratigea, Maria Giaoutzi -- Foresights, Scenarios, and Sustainable Development: A Pluriformity Perspective / Eveline van Leeuwen, Peter Nijkamp, Aliye Ahu Akgün, Masood Gheasi -- Methodological Challenges in Combining Quantitative and Qualitative Foresight Methods for Sustainable Energy Futures: The SEPIA Project / Erik Laes, Da Ruan, Fre Maes, Aviel Verbruggen -- Building Strategic Policy Scenarios for EU Agriculture: AG2020 / Maria Giaoutzi, Anastasia Stratigea -- Opportunities for Combining Quantitative and Qualitative Approaches in Scenario Building: The Experience of the 'Estonia 2010' Project / Erik Terk |
| Summary |
Foresight is an area within Futures Studies that focuses on critical thinking concerning long term developments, whether within the public sector or in industry and management, and is something of a sub-section of complexity and network science. This book examines developments in foresight methodologies and relates in its greater part to the work done in the context of the COSTA22 network of the EU on Foresight Methodologies. Foresight is a professional practice that supports significant decisions, and as such it needs to be more assured of its claims to knowledge (methodology). Foresight is practiced across many domains and is not the preserve of specialized 'futurists', or indeed of foresight specialists. However, the disciplines of foresight are not well articulated or disseminated across domains, leading to re-inventions and practice that does not make best use of experience in other domains. The methodological development of foresight is an important task that aims at strengthening the pool of the tools available for application, thereby empowering the actors involved in foresight practice. Elaborating further on methodological issues, such as those presented in the present book, enables the actors involved in foresight to begin to critique current practice from this perspective and, thirdly, to begin to design foresight practice. The present trends towards methodological concerns indicates a move from 'given' expert-predicted futures to one in which futures are nurtured through a dialogue among "stakeholders." The book has four parts, each elaborating on a set of aspects of foresight methodologies. After an introductory section, Part II considers theorizing about foresight methodologies. Part III covers system content issues, and Part IV presents foresight tools and approaches |
| Analysis |
Economics |
|
Operations research |
|
Economics/Management Science |
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Operation Research/Decision Theory |
|
Complex Systems |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references |
| Subject |
Business forecasting
|
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Management science.
|
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BUSINESS & ECONOMICS -- Forecasting.
|
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Science économique.
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Affaires.
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Business forecasting
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Management science
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| Form |
Electronic book
|
| Author |
Giaoutzi, Maria, 1946-
|
|
Sapio, Bartolomeo.
|
| ISBN |
9781461452157 |
|
1461452155 |
|
1461452147 |
|
9781461452140 |
|
1283911361 |
|
9781283911368 |
|
