Front Matter; Introduction; The Rationale for Agent-Based Modeling; The Concept of Minimal Rationality; Learning in Economics; Replicating the Stylized Facts of Financial Markets; The Original Santa Fe Institute Artificial Stock Market; A Suggested Modification to the SFI-ASM; An Analysis of Wealth Levels; Selection, Genetic Drift, and Technical Trading; Summary and Future Research; Appendix; Back Matter
Summary
This book reconciles the existence of technical trading with the Efficient Market Hypothesis. By analyzing a well-known agent-based model, the Santa Fe Institute Artificial Stock Market (SFI-ASM), it finds that when selective forces are weak, financial evolution cannot guarantee that only the fittest trading rules will survive. Its main contribution lies in the application of standard results from population genetics which have widely been neglected in the agent-based community. This has led to various misinterpretations of previous simulation results. The book is able to finally establish the
Bibliography
Includes bibliographical references (pages 195-225) and index
